Thursday, March 5, 2009

USDJPY test the resistance at 99.50

During the US session, USDJPY was crawling slowly downward but managed to close higher than previous close and the daily pivot point. 

As usual, I am expecting there will be a reversal of price moved during the Asian session. I based my reversal point using fibo retracement and expansion. Refer to the 10 min chart below. At 23:40 GMT the cross bounced from the pivot point (98.94) and the last swing low (98.93) but price spike down at 24:00 GMT (Tokyo Banks session started) with support at fibo expansion of 61.8% from the swing high-low of 99.41-98.93. The spike  was also  a bounce from the fibo retracement of swing low-high (98.03-March 3rd to 99.47-March 4th). The indicators i.e the blue lag and the RSI(3) was at  oversold position ready to shift upward.


My 1 min scalp trade entry is the aqua color triangle. The first trade was a second bounce from the pivot point and closing above today open with the B&S and LCD signal. I exited at 99.25. there is no short position since the trend is strongly upward. Second long entry at the second triangle with LCD and B&S give a buy signal with blue lag moving above 15. Exit at 99.34 when blue lag cross 85 from above. There was a B&S short signal but it did not go along with the LCD signal therefore I ignored it. Entered at the third traingle with and exited at blue lag cross 85 since red lag had cross the 85 10 mins ago, a possibilty of trend reversal.




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