Monday, March 16, 2009

Monday morning-expectation of bullish Nikkei

Looking  at the 15 MTF USDJPY chart, the cross is nicely moving along the downward sloping channel (the blue line channel).  One hour before Asian session began a bear candle push down to the major support of 200 period ema and than a spike candle penetrating the 61.8% retracement and find support at the lower channel line. The spike has a small body and the following bullish candle confirmed  a formation of  morning star bullish reversal. At Asian session opened(23:00 GMT), the move has carried the prices to the 50% retracement level.

Normally I started my scalp trading at 24:00 GMT. At this juncture I am pulling for a further uptrend of USDJPY since traditionally what had  happened during the US session will be reversed. A downtrend during previous US session is expected for a invalidation of uptrend in early Asian session.

And furthermore,  USDJPY  in early morning  Asian session has a tendency to move in tandem with the Nikkei  and I expected Nikkei to be  bullish at the opening due to the  last Friday higher Wall Street. 


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