Friday, May 14, 2010

Cable pressured by BOE and Trade Balance Report

Cable is still feeling the pressure from Wednesday's dovish BoE quarterly inflation report. The disappointing trade balance which showed deficit widened to GBP 7.5 billion in March, put a lot of pressure on the GBP/USD pair. By the end of Thursday session the pair has bottom at 1.4571.

Friday early session started with a possibility of a reverse head and shoulder pattern with Thursday’s low as the bottom of the reverse head. The pair than stride upward within a uptrend channel(refer to 5 MTF chart below). By Tokyo Lunch time, a toppish double top is forming at 50% fibo retracement.

My first entry with a sell position was at point A(refer to 1MTF and 5MTF charts below). The 5MTF showed a divergence in RSI and MACD while on 1MTF there was a penetration of uptrend line and all indicators showing a sell position. Target was at previous day low at 1.4571.

Second entry with a buy at point C with indicators at 5MTF and 1 MTF showing a buy signal. Target at D with resistance of the uptrend line, 200 EMA(5 MTF) and 50% fibo retracement.

5 MTF CHART


1 MTF CHART

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